In the debate about the Energiewende, the environmental community often focuses on carbon emissions. Supporters of nuclear power no longer speak only of "power too cheap to meter" but now also call for "low-carbon technologies" (though some carbon is emitted during plant construction and uranium mining), a term that encompasses not only renewables, but also nuclear power.
The German public sees a significant difference between nuclear and renewables, however. Indeed, the Energiewende movement started in the 1970s as a popular protest against nuclear power and has been building political momentum ever since.
There are six main concerns regarding nuclear power
- the risk of a nuclear disaster (such as the rather well-known ones at Fukushima, Chernobyl, and Three Mile Island, but also lesser-known ones, such as the Kyshtym accident);
- the risks of proliferation (plutonium from nuclear plants for military purposes);
- the risk of radiation from the storage of nuclear waste;
- the cost, with nuclear being unbankable at the moment – i.e. banks will not finance the construction of new nuclear plants because the cost is too high in comparison to renewables. All plants currently on the drawing board in Western countries have massive state support – the new Hinkley Point nuclear plant approved in the UK is to have feed-in tariffs higher than what Germany pays for solar power in addition to state guarantees for bank loans;
- the limited availability of uranium resources; and
- the incompatibility of inflexible nuclear baseload power with fluctuating wind and solar.
The third risk of radiation from nuclear waste is even greater because it will be passed on to future generations, who will not be able to consume the nuclear power we produce today but will be forced to deal with our waste. Even when all of our nuclear fission plants have been shut down globally, mankind will have to protect its repositories of spent nuclear fuel rods for up to 100,000 years.
The true future of nuclear power
In the end, however, it does not matter whether you believe 100 percent renewables is possible or not. Nuclear power is simply too small a player on global markets; it has never even accounted for more than six percent of global final energy supply, and more plants are scheduled to be taken off-line over the next decade than are expected to go online. The International Energy Agency, which has supported nuclear power since its founding in 1973, believes that the world can roughly triple the number of nuclear plants from the current level (approximately 440) to around 1,400 by 2050 – equivalent to 35 new nuclear plants per year – but the WWF has estimated that this highly unlikely scenario would only lower global carbon emissions by ten percent. That outcome is too little, too slow, and too expensive to contribute meaningfully to tackling climate change. In addition, severe resource issues would arise in the process. At current rates of consumption, uranium for light-water reactors will only be available at affordable prices for roughly the next 30 years. Nuclear is therefore not a solution, even if you believe the risks are manageable and your main goal is to reduce carbon emissions.
If we can gradually shift to a renewable energy supply, then it seems irresponsible to have nuclear plants today – and unethical to continue passing on these risks to future generations.